Provisional grade — derived from this report's measured data points; the county detector suite has not measured this geography yet. The measured ARED Score replaces it on the suite's next run.
ZIP 77303 — Conroe
The 77303 housing market shows steady demand with a 3.41% year-over-year price increase and a median sale price of $290,000. While inventory remains available, the market is balanced, supported by consistent interest from families and commuters. Growth in the Conroe area continues to drive long-term value appreciation.
This ZIP is well-suited for family buyers and commuters seeking more affordable, spacious housing options compared to the inner Houston metro, while offering a suburban lifestyle with proximity to lake recreation.
Median prices moved up 3.4% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 48 days on market with 1.3 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
19% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 8.8% · poverty 18.9% — a mixed stability profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 77303
Schools serving the area are primarily part of the Conroe Independent School District, which generally maintains a positive reputation in the region.
The area is subject to standard Texas Gulf Coast climate risks, including potential for heavy rainfall and wind events; insurance premiums are influenced by regional flood and storm exposure.
The area benefits from proximity to Conroe's expanding industrial and commercial base, with ongoing residential development in master-planned communities.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Texas) — Senior (65+) and Disabled Homestead Exemption and School Tax Ceiling: Grants an additional mandatory $10,000 exemption from ISD appraised value (Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000 - $10,000) and establishes an absolute statutory tax freeze (school tax ceiling): total ISD property taxes cannot exceed the dollar ceiling established in the… State (Texas) — General Residence Homestead Exemption and 10% Valuation Growth Cap: Imposes mandatory state-level valuation deductions and growth limitations on the qualifying homestead: (1) Mandates a $100,000 deduction from appraised value for independent school district (ISD) maintenance and operations/debt taxation: Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100… State (Texas) — Ad Valorem Real Property Taxation and Assessment Ratio: Mandates ad valorem appraisal of all real property at 100% of fair market value as of January 1 each tax year (Assessment Ratio = 1.00).
Residents primarily rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with access to I-45 and TX-105 providing routes toward the Conroe and Houston employment hubs.
The area features access to outdoor amenities including nearby Lake Conroe, various community parks, and local golf courses, with shopping and dining concentrated in the Conroe city center.
The rental market shows moderate demand with a median rent of $1,722; vacancy pressure remains stable as the area continues to attract new residents.
The local economy is anchored by the energy, healthcare, and education sectors, with significant employment provided by the Conroe Independent School District and regional medical facilities.
Transportation is dominated by highway corridors including I-45 and TX-105, facilitating regional connectivity.
Development is focused on residential expansion in the northeast Conroe area, with several master-planned communities currently in active build-out phases.
The Montgomery Central Appraisal District manages property valuations for tax purposes, utilizing annual market-based assessments.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including Municipal Utility Districts (MUDs) for water/sewer and emergency service districts for fire protection.
Property insurance premiums are sensitive to regional wind and flood risk profiles, with market health generally stable but subject to state-wide rate adjustments.
Data retrieved from Census Reporter and ACS 2024 profiles.
Major regional destination for boating, fishing, and water sports.
Serves as a key aviation hub for the northern Houston metro area.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Forecasts are for speculation only and should not be used as a deciding factor in any transaction. Projections trend strictly from calculable historical values — the platform cannot predict market movements, market sentiment, or the market itself.
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Awaiting measured history — this chart renders once enough refresh-cycle reads accumulate (a one-point series is not a trend).
Standard trend model — solid = measured history · dashed = projection anchored at each line's last measured point, following that series' trailing pace (CAGR capped ±12%/yr) or trailing mean · projections are estimates, not measured reads · every charted series runs the standard 5-year historical window with a 1-year forecast, trimmed from the full retained ledger — the forecast always extends into the future year (a lagging ledger bridges to it) and stops there on purpose: authoritative, not wizardry · every price line is county-assessed value from the district CAD — the tier's same-parcel assessment roll-up on the momentum tile, the assessed trajectory in raw dollar levels and as a YoY-chained index (base 100), and the month-over-month pace from nearby comparable sales pooled from the research track; a tier without comps yet keeps its pace story with the assessed trend. Inventory, liquidity, price-cut and foreclosure lines run on the platform's own measured series.
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Aggregate foreclosure counts for this geography — recorded notices, upcoming sales and distress weight against population. The filing-level ledger opens at Investor.
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