The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 78654 sells for about $398,409, or $235 per square foot.
Prices are down 2.5% from a year ago, which gives buyers more room to negotiate. Homes take about 59 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,670 a month.
ZIP 78654 — Marble Falls
The housing market in 78654 is showing signs of stabilization after a period of price correction, with inventory levels remaining elevated. While year-over-year prices have dipped slightly, demand for lake-adjacent properties remains a key driver of market activity. Buyers are currently benefiting from more negotiation power compared to previous years.
This ZIP is well-suited for retirees, families seeking a lake-lifestyle environment, and commuters who prioritize outdoor amenities over proximity to urban centers.
Median prices moved down 2.5% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 59 days on market with 5.2 months of supply — a balanced-paced market.
19% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 97.2% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 3.9% · poverty 11.2% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.1%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 5.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 78654
Crime rates in the Marble Falls area are generally considered lower than the national average, with property crime being the most frequently reported incident type.
The area is primarily served by the Marble Falls Independent School District, which maintains a range of ratings across its elementary, middle, and high school campuses.
The region faces moderate wildfire risk and localized flood risks near the Colorado River and Lake Marble Falls, necessitating standard hazard insurance coverage.
Economic momentum is driven by tourism, retail, and service sectors, with ongoing residential development projects expanding the housing stock in the Highland Lakes region.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (Texas) — Senior (65+) and Disabled Homestead Exemption and School Tax Ceiling: Grants an additional mandatory $10,000 exemption from ISD appraised value (Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100,000 - $10,000) and establishes an absolute statutory tax freeze (school tax ceiling): total ISD property taxes cannot exceed the dollar ceiling established in the… State (Texas) — General Residence Homestead Exemption and 10% Valuation Growth Cap: Imposes mandatory state-level valuation deductions and growth limitations on the qualifying homestead: (1) Mandates a $100,000 deduction from appraised value for independent school district (ISD) maintenance and operations/debt taxation: Taxable Value_ISD = Appraised Value - $100… State (Texas) — Ad Valorem Real Property Taxation and Assessment Ratio: Mandates ad valorem appraisal of all real property at 100% of fair market value as of January 1 each tax year (Assessment Ratio = 1.00).
Commuters primarily utilize US-281 and SH-71 to reach employment hubs in the Austin metropolitan area, with average commute times exceeding 30 minutes.
The ZIP code features extensive access to Lake Marble Falls and Lake LBJ, numerous public parks, golf courses, and a historic downtown shopping and dining district.
The rental market is characterized by moderate vacancy pressure and a mix of long-term residential leases and seasonal short-term vacation rentals near the lakes.
The local economy is anchored by tourism, healthcare, and retail services, with significant employment provided by the Marble Falls ISD and local government entities.
Transportation is heavily reliant on private vehicles, with US-281 serving as the primary north-south corridor and SH-71 providing east-west connectivity.
Development pipeline includes several mixed-use and residential projects aimed at increasing housing density near the city center.
The Burnet County Appraisal District manages property assessments, utilizing market-based valuation methods for residential and commercial parcels.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including the Marble Falls ISD, Burnet County ESDs, and local water control and improvement districts.
Property insurance premiums are influenced by regional wildfire risk and the proximity to water bodies, with market health remaining stable but sensitive to climate events.
Texas continues to experience strong net domestic migration, driven by job growth and relative affordability compared to coastal states.
Texas operates under a non-judicial foreclosure process, allowing for relatively efficient resolution of defaulted mortgages.
Sellers are required to provide a standard Seller's Disclosure Notice detailing the condition of the property and any known defects.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov for ZCTA 78654.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment. Source: NCES EDGE public school locations 2023-24.
- Volente Beach Resort & Waterpark4.219.2 mi
- Texas Paintball4.717.8 mi
- Putters and Gutters Marble Falls4.15.2 mi
- Freedom Fun USA515.9 mi
- Volente Beach Resort & Waterpark4.219.2 mi
- Lucky Rabbit Live Music Bar & Kitchen4.717.1 mi
- Angels Icehouse4.516.1 mi
- Villa Antonia4.816.3 mi
- The Lighthouse Restaurant & Lounge4.513.9 mi
- Longhorn Cavern State Park4.812.1 mi
- Hidden Falls Adventure Park4.51.9 mi
- Balcones Canyonlands National Wildlife Refuge4.611.3 mi
- Sunset Deck4.713 mi
- Spicewood Vineyards4.77.6 mi
- Belóved Gallery4.94.6 mi
- Dead Man's Hole Historical Landmark4.44.8 mi
- Rae's Rbar & Grill4.44.7 mi
- Bertram Depot4.314.9 mi
- Hill Country Motorheads Motorcycle Museum4.913.6 mi
- Longhorn Cavern State Park4.812.1 mi
- Krause Springs4.67 mi
- Hidden Falls Adventure Park4.51.9 mi
- Muleshoe Bend Recreation Area4.78.3 mi
- Balcones Canyonlands National Wildlife Refuge4.611.3 mi
- Lakeway Marina4.718.5 mi
- Paradise Cove Marina418 mi
- Highland Lakes Marina3.919.1 mi
- Austin Yacht Club4.819.4 mi
- Austin's Boat Tours-Party Boats4.919 mi
- Delaware Springs Golf Course4.610.8 mi
- Hidden Falls Golf Club4.45.6 mi
- Escondido Golf & Lake Club4.611.3 mi
- Slick Rock Golf Course4.610.4 mi
- Blue Lake Golf Club4.513 mi
- Bayside Fresh Market4.611.6 mi
- Ross Dress for Less4.34.8 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
Major recreational lake offering boating, fishing, and swimming access.
Large off-road vehicle park and outdoor recreation area.
Historic district with local boutiques, cafes, and restaurants.
Key-figure check: median price diverges 21.5% from the nearest retained anchor (prior refresh cycle) — beyond the 12.5% tolerance; an automated validation case is open and the value publishes pending its verdict.