The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 95354 sells for about $415,000, or $305 per square foot.
Homes take about 44 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,850 a month.
ZIP 95354 — Modesto
The 95354 housing market is currently stable, with prices holding steady as inventory remains tight. Demand is supported by the area's relative affordability compared to the broader California market, though high interest rates continue to influence buyer activity. The market is characterized by a balanced environment where homes sell at a moderate pace.
This ZIP code is well-suited for first-time homebuyers, families seeking affordability, and renters looking for proximity to downtown Modesto. It offers a central location with access to local services, though buyers should be prepared for a competitive market environment.
Median prices moved sideways 0.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 44 days on market with 2.5 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
16% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 100% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 6.5% · poverty 19.5% — a mixed stability profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.6%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 5.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
ZCTA 95354, Stanislaus County, CA
Crime rates in the 95354 area are generally higher than the national average, reflecting urban challenges common to the central Modesto core. Local law enforcement continues to prioritize community-based policing to address property and violent crime trends.
Schools serving the 95354 ZIP code include a mix of district-run and alternative charter options, with performance metrics varying significantly across the area. Many students are served by Modesto City Schools, which provides a broad range of academic and vocational programming.
The area faces moderate risks related to extreme heat and potential flooding from the Tuolumne River basin. Property insurance markets in the region are currently experiencing upward pressure on premiums due to broader California wildfire and climate-risk adjustments.
Economic momentum is driven by the region's agricultural processing, healthcare, and logistics sectors. Infrastructure improvements are focused on enhancing connectivity between downtown Modesto and the broader Central Valley transit corridors.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).
Residents in 95354 benefit from proximity to downtown Modesto's employment core, with many commutes occurring via local surface streets. Regional access is facilitated by Highway 99, which connects the area to larger employment hubs in the Bay Area and Sacramento.
The ZIP code features access to several local parks and green spaces, including proximity to the Tuolumne River trail system. Shopping and dining amenities are concentrated in the historic downtown district and along major commercial corridors.
The rental market in 95354 is characterized by high demand and limited vacancy, driven by the area's affordability relative to coastal California. Investor activity remains steady, with a mix of long-term rentals and some short-term presence in the urban core.
The economy is anchored by the healthcare sector, including major hospital systems, and the agricultural processing industry. Modesto serves as a regional hub for commerce in the San Joaquin Valley.
The area is served by local bus transit and is positioned near the Highway 99 corridor. Commuter rail options are available via nearby stations connecting to the Bay Area.
Development efforts are focused on infill housing and the modernization of downtown commercial spaces. City planning emphasizes transit-oriented development near major corridors.
The Stanislaus County Assessor maintains property valuations based on market sales and the constraints of Proposition 13. Assessments are updated annually to reflect changes in ownership and new construction.
Parcels in this ZIP are subject to various special districts, including local school districts, the Modesto Irrigation District for utilities, and regional flood control assessments.
Property insurance availability is stable, though premiums are influenced by regional wildfire risk assessments and general inflationary pressures on construction costs.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov ZCTA-level tables.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.219.1 mi
- Hilmar Cheese Company Visitor Center4.616.2 mi
- Boomers Modesto4.67.5 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.74.6 mi
- Sky Zone Trampoline Park42.6 mi
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.219.1 mi
- Gallo Center for the Arts4.71.6 mi
- Stanislaus County Fairgrounds & Event Center4.211.2 mi
- Golden Corral Buffet & Grill44.2 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.74.6 mi
- Galaxy Theatres Riverbank IMAX4.66.9 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.512.8 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.312.6 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.54.6 mi
- Brenden Theatres Modesto 18 & JBX4.31.7 mi
- Modesto Children's Museum4.61.6 mi
- Great Valley Museum and Planetarium4.74.2 mi
- McHenry Museum4.71.4 mi
- Carnegie Arts Center4.711.7 mi
- Picasso's Gourmet Deli4.81.7 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.512.8 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.312.6 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.54.6 mi
- Jacob Myers Park4.57.7 mi
- Graceada Park4.21.8 mi
- Creekside Golf Course4.22 mi
- River Oaks Golf Course and Event Center4.22.6 mi
- Dryden Park Golf Course4.12.1 mi
- Jack Tone Golf4.211.4 mi
- St. Stanislaus Golf Course4.35 mi
- Vintage Faire Mall4.35.9 mi
- El Rematito Flea Market4.33.4 mi
- WinCo Foods4.44.3 mi
- Safeway4.22.9 mi
- Sprouts Farmers Market4.42.7 mi
- Stockton Metropolitan Airport4.223.7 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
A major recreational area offering trails and river access.
The historic center featuring local restaurants, boutiques, and entertainment venues.
A premier performing arts venue serving the entire region.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.