LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|
Property-class scope

The story of this market

The typical home in ZIP 95357 sells for about $522,500, or $305 per square foot.

Prices are up +1.5% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 44 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $2,100 a month.

ZIP market report · consumer edition · quarterly refresh
Track this ZIP

ZIP 95357 — Modesto

Stanislaus County →Modesto marketrefreshed Sep 26, 2026next refresh Oct 26, 2026
Market mood · cautiously optimistic

The 95357 housing market shows signs of stabilization with a median price of $522,500 and a healthy inventory level of 742 active listings. While price growth remains modest at 1.5% year-over-year, the market is supported by steady demand from local buyers and a relatively balanced supply-to-demand ratio. The outlook is cautiously optimistic as the area continues to benefit from its affordability relative to the broader California market.

Who this ZIP fits

This ZIP code is well-suited for family buyers and local workers seeking more affordable housing options compared to the Bay Area. It attracts those looking for a suburban lifestyle with access to essential amenities and a central location within the San Joaquin Valley.

Parent geography
Aerial view · ZIP boundaries2020 Census ZCTA boundary over current aerial imagery
Leaflet Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics
Land area · 101.9 km²Water area · 0.3 km²U.S. Census Bureau TIGERweb — 2020 Census ZCTA5 boundary
Median sale price
$522,500
Inherited · Stanislaus County figure+1.5% year over year
Corroborated · 1 anchor · 0% off nearest
Days on market
44 days
Active listings
742
Listings with price cuts
16%
share of active listings
Sale-to-list ratio
100%
of asking price
ZIP Market ScoreZIP-SCORE-1.3 · 4/4 sections graded
73
Composite · average of graded sections
Computed only from this report's published readings — sections without data are excluded, never estimated.
57
Growth/100

Median prices moved up 1.5% year over year.

78
Liquidity/100

Homes spend a median of 44 days on market with 2.5 months of supply — a fast-moving market.

77
Momentum/100

16% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 100% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.

80
Safety & stability/100

no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 5.8% · poverty 9.4% — a stable, low-distress profile.

Median price · ten-year history

Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$200,000$400,000$600,000$800,000$1,000,000

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Property tax · ten-year history

Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$2,100$3,150$4,200$5,250$6,300

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Census trends · population flowsACS 2019-2023 5-year estimates
Population change
+1.2%

versus the prior ACS vintage

Net migration
+450 people

net influx — more people moved in than out

Population base
32,500

ZCTA 95357, Stanislaus County, CA

Area context
Crime & safety

Crime trends in the Modesto area remain a primary concern for residents, with property crime rates consistently tracking higher than the national average. Local law enforcement continues to prioritize community policing initiatives to address these regional disparities.

Schools & education

Schools serving the 95357 area are part of the Modesto City Schools and surrounding districts, which generally maintain average performance ratings. Educational quality varies by specific neighborhood, with ongoing efforts to improve student outcomes through district-wide curriculum updates.

Environmental & hazard

The region faces moderate risks related to extreme heat and potential wildfire smoke impacts during summer months. Flood risk is generally low, though specific parcels near the Tuolumne River may require specialized insurance coverage.

Growth & development

Economic momentum is driven by the agricultural, healthcare, and logistics sectors, with major employers like E. & J. Gallo Winery and local hospital systems anchoring the workforce. Infrastructure development is focused on expanding transit corridors to better connect the Central Valley to Bay Area employment hubs.

Taxation

Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).

Transportation & commute

Residents primarily rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with Highway 99 serving as the main artery for travel toward employment centers in Modesto and the broader Central Valley. Public transit options are limited, making long-distance commutes to the Bay Area time-intensive.

Recreation & amenities

The area offers access to local parks and community centers, with proximity to the Tuolumne River for outdoor activities. Shopping and dining options are concentrated along major commercial corridors, providing essential services within a short drive.

Rental market

The rental market is characterized by steady demand and low vacancy rates, driven by the area's affordability relative to coastal California. Rent growth has remained stable, with a mix of long-term residential rentals and limited short-term rental activity.

Economy & employers

The economy is anchored by agriculture, food processing, and healthcare services. Major employers include E. & J. Gallo Winery and regional medical centers, which provide a stable employment base for the area.

Transportation & infrastructure

The area is served by a network of state highways, with Highway 99 being the primary corridor for regional transit. Public transportation is provided by local bus services, though connectivity to major employment hubs remains a challenge for commuters.

Development pipeline

Development is focused on residential expansion and commercial infill projects. Approved plans include new housing subdivisions and retail centers designed to support the growing population.

County appraisal district

The Stanislaus County Assessor's office manages property valuations, adhering to Proposition 13 guidelines for annual assessment increases.

Special districts

Parcels are subject to various special districts, including school districts, water agencies, and fire protection services, which are reflected in the annual property tax bill.

Insurance & hazard market

Property insurance premiums are influenced by regional wildfire and climate risk factors, with many carriers adjusting rates to reflect current hazard modeling.

Migration & population flows

Net domestic migration to the region remains positive, driven by individuals seeking more affordable housing compared to the coastal California markets.

Foreclosure doctrine

California operates as a non-judicial foreclosure state, with a standard process that includes a notice of default and a subsequent trustee sale period.

Disclosure doctrine

Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive Transfer Disclosure Statement (TDS) detailing the condition of the property and any known material defects.

Discovery profileACS 2019-2023 5-year estimates
Census profile · ZCTA 95357, Stanislaus County, CA
Population
32,500
Median age
34.5 yrs
Owner-occupancy
62.4%
Median home value
$485,000
Median gross rent
$1,850
Median household income
$95,707
Median year built
1992
Vacancy rate
3.2%
Renter share
37.6%
Owner cost burden
28.5%
Renter cost burden
45.2%
Population change
+1.2%
Net migration
450
Work-from-home share
12.5%
Mean commute
32.4 min
Bachelor's or higher
22.1%
Unemployment
5.8%
Poverty rate
9.4%
Avg household size
3.15
White
45.2%
Hispanic or Latino
42.8%
Asian
5.1%
Black or African American
2.8%
Other
4.1%

Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 95357 profile.

Public schools with an address here · 2

Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.

Modesto High SchoolHigh6/10Modesto City SchoolsServes a large portion of the ZIP code.
Empire ElementaryElementary5/10Empire Union School DistrictProvides primary education for the eastern section of the ZIP.
School districts
Modesto City SchoolsAverageThe primary district serving the urban core of the ZIP.
Empire Union School DistrictAverageServes the eastern residential areas.
Utilities & services
ElectricModesto Irrigation DistrictPublicly owned utility providing electricity.
Natural GasPG&EPrimary provider for natural gas services.
InternetComcast/AT&TMajor broadband providers in the area.
Water/SewerCity of ModestoMunicipal water and sewer services.
Major employers & industries
E. & J. Gallo WineryAgriculture/ManufacturingMajor regional employer.
Doctors Medical CenterHealthcareSignificant regional healthcare provider.
Major amenities · ZIP 95357
Theme, amusement & water parks
10 · 20 mi
Entertainment venues, stadiums & amphitheaters
15 · 20 mi
Family fun & things to do
20+ · 13 mi
Museums, galleries & history
9 · 20 mi
Parks, trails & nature
19 · 13 mi
Shopping & dining districts
7 · 13 mi
Airports
1 · 31 mi

Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.

Amenities & attractions2 retained amenities · 1 development on the horizon
Inside this ZIP
Tuolumne River Regional Park
Park

Provides extensive trails and river access for local recreation.

Modesto Municipal Golf Course
Golf Course

A public facility serving the local community.

On the horizon · announced & under construction
Modesto Gateway ExpansionMixed-useApprovedPlanned commercial and residential development on the city's eastern edge.
Sources · 5 cited

Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.