The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 95357 sells for about $522,500, or $305 per square foot.
Prices are up +1.5% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 44 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $2,100 a month.
ZIP 95357 — Modesto
The 95357 housing market shows signs of stabilization with a median price of $522,500 and a healthy inventory level of 742 active listings. While price growth remains modest at 1.5% year-over-year, the market is supported by steady demand from local buyers and a relatively balanced supply-to-demand ratio. The outlook is cautiously optimistic as the area continues to benefit from its affordability relative to the broader California market.
This ZIP code is well-suited for family buyers and local workers seeking more affordable housing options compared to the Bay Area. It attracts those looking for a suburban lifestyle with access to essential amenities and a central location within the San Joaquin Valley.
Median prices moved up 1.5% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 44 days on market with 2.5 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
16% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 100% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 5.8% · poverty 9.4% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.8%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 95357, Stanislaus County, CA
Crime trends in the Modesto area remain a primary concern for residents, with property crime rates consistently tracking higher than the national average. Local law enforcement continues to prioritize community policing initiatives to address these regional disparities.
Schools serving the 95357 area are part of the Modesto City Schools and surrounding districts, which generally maintain average performance ratings. Educational quality varies by specific neighborhood, with ongoing efforts to improve student outcomes through district-wide curriculum updates.
The region faces moderate risks related to extreme heat and potential wildfire smoke impacts during summer months. Flood risk is generally low, though specific parcels near the Tuolumne River may require specialized insurance coverage.
Economic momentum is driven by the agricultural, healthcare, and logistics sectors, with major employers like E. & J. Gallo Winery and local hospital systems anchoring the workforce. Infrastructure development is focused on expanding transit corridors to better connect the Central Valley to Bay Area employment hubs.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).
Residents primarily rely on personal vehicles for commuting, with Highway 99 serving as the main artery for travel toward employment centers in Modesto and the broader Central Valley. Public transit options are limited, making long-distance commutes to the Bay Area time-intensive.
The area offers access to local parks and community centers, with proximity to the Tuolumne River for outdoor activities. Shopping and dining options are concentrated along major commercial corridors, providing essential services within a short drive.
The rental market is characterized by steady demand and low vacancy rates, driven by the area's affordability relative to coastal California. Rent growth has remained stable, with a mix of long-term residential rentals and limited short-term rental activity.
The economy is anchored by agriculture, food processing, and healthcare services. Major employers include E. & J. Gallo Winery and regional medical centers, which provide a stable employment base for the area.
The area is served by a network of state highways, with Highway 99 being the primary corridor for regional transit. Public transportation is provided by local bus services, though connectivity to major employment hubs remains a challenge for commuters.
Development is focused on residential expansion and commercial infill projects. Approved plans include new housing subdivisions and retail centers designed to support the growing population.
The Stanislaus County Assessor's office manages property valuations, adhering to Proposition 13 guidelines for annual assessment increases.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including school districts, water agencies, and fire protection services, which are reflected in the annual property tax bill.
Property insurance premiums are influenced by regional wildfire and climate risk factors, with many carriers adjusting rates to reflect current hazard modeling.
Net domestic migration to the region remains positive, driven by individuals seeking more affordable housing compared to the coastal California markets.
California operates as a non-judicial foreclosure state, with a standard process that includes a notice of default and a subsequent trustee sale period.
Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive Transfer Disclosure Statement (TDS) detailing the condition of the property and any known material defects.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 95357 profile.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Hilmar Cheese Company Visitor Center4.617 mi
- Boomers Modesto4.610.7 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.78.5 mi
- Sky Zone Trampoline Park45.8 mi
- Funworks Modesto4.25.7 mi
- Gallo Center for the Arts4.76.5 mi
- Stanislaus County Fairgrounds & Event Center4.211.4 mi
- Golden Corral Buffet & Grill46.4 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.78.5 mi
- The Fruit Yard4.52.7 mi
- Galaxy Theatres Riverbank IMAX4.66 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.53.3 mi
- Brenden Theatres Modesto 18 & JBX4.36.6 mi
- Dave & Buster's Modesto3.89.3 mi
- Regal Modesto4.46.5 mi
- Modesto Children's Museum4.66.5 mi
- Great Valley Museum and Planetarium4.78.5 mi
- McHenry Museum4.76.2 mi
- Carnegie Arts Center4.711.9 mi
- Picasso's Gourmet Deli4.86.6 mi
- Woodward Reservoir Park4.312.6 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.53.3 mi
- Jacob Myers Park4.56.2 mi
- Graceada Park4.26.3 mi
- Donnelly Park4.410.8 mi
- Creekside Golf Course4.23.2 mi
- River Oaks Golf Course and Event Center4.24.4 mi
- Dryden Park Golf Course4.17.3 mi
- St. Stanislaus Golf Course4.39.1 mi
- Escalon Golf Course3.511.7 mi
- Vintage Faire Mall4.39.4 mi
- El Rematito Flea Market4.38 mi
- WinCo Foods4.48.2 mi
- Safeway4.26.1 mi
- Sprouts Farmers Market4.46 mi
- Stockton Metropolitan Airport4.225.7 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
Provides extensive trails and river access for local recreation.
A public facility serving the local community.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.